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The question is whether we will change those patterns before we radically damage our environment effectively forever.Ive reached out to Adrian Raftery, lead author of the new study, with some of the criticisms enumerated above.Ive also reached out to a few other climate scientists to see what they think, and will update this post if and when I hear back.But, in short, theres still a lot of uncertainty about how much the planet will warm this century.Another study, also published today in Nature Climate Change, suggests were likely only committed to 1.The two new estimates are barely within the error bars of each other.Of course, none of this changes the fact that we need to act quickly to avoid the worst consequences of climate change.So, whats the average person to do about it all If you live in a wealthy nation, heres a list of choices you can make to align your lifestyle with the Paris goal.If enough of us make enough of these choices, itll help drive our economy in the right direction.But ultimately, the decisions thatll lead to the most impactful shiftsthose that cannot be predicted by models based on historical trendsare bigger than us.Theyre policy decisions made at high levels of government.So, you can also vote.Nature Climate ChangeUpdate In an email to Gizmodo, study co author Richard Startz responded to some of the criticisms above, saying that one of the goals of his teams modeling approach was its ability to account for uncertainty.Uncertainty about economic growth over the next 1.The bad news is that the band of likely outcomes range from pretty bad to outright disaster.To the point about the capricious nature of our political will to act, Startz emphasized that his team forecasts the worlds carbon intensity a metric of carbon emissions relative to economic growth will fall as quickly as it has been falling for some time now.It would take a noticeable acceleration or deceleration to make a difference, he said.Perhaps some country will pull out of the Paris accords and cut progress.Or one could imagine a country investing in basic science in a way that brings forth technological breakthroughs at a far more rapid pace than has already been the case.Instagram Done Got Hacked.Instagram, Facebooks hotter, snootier subsidiary, may have a massive data breach on its hands.This week, a security flaw within Instagram allowed hackers to assemble a database of what appeared to be verified users contact informationsome of those affected purportedly being celebrities and politicians.According to the Verge, Instagram now says the known scope of the breach has expanded to include at least some unverified Instagrammers.We recently discovered a bug on Instagram that could be used to access some peoples email address and phone number even if they were not public, Instagram CTO Mike Krieger wrote in a blog post.No passwords or other Instagram activity was revealed.We quickly fixed the bug, and have been working with law enforcement on the matter.Although we cannot determine which specific accounts may have been impacted, we believe it was a low percentage of Instagram accounts.We are very sorry this happened, Krieger added.As the Daily Beast reported last week, the unknown hackers behind the breach claim to have compromised six million accounts and set up a website called Doxagram, which allegedly offered access to phone numbers, email addresses or both for 1,0.Instagram accounts at 1.While a few of the addresses were public information, many did not return any relevant Google results, implying they were obtained from some private source.The Beast was able to confirm some of the leaked accounts had valid contact information the site was later taken offline.Per the Verge, cybersecurity firm Rep.Knight said supposed contact information for a number of celebrities featured on Doxagram was circulating on the dark web, ranging from Hollywood celebs like Emma Watson and Leonardo Di.Caprio to musician Harry Styles and boxer Floyd Mayweather.The Beast claimed the site even purported to have contact info behind President Donald Trumps official Instagram profile, which was managed by White House social media director Dan Scavino.In addition to potentially exposing users to harassment, the breach could allow hackers to target them for social engineering attacks which could compromise their accounts.Instagrams security hole may be linked to an incident on August 2.Selena Gomezthe most followed user on the siteand posted nude photographs of Justin Bieber.Data breaches are not the only major problem reported at the social media giant in recent days.On Friday, Mashable reported the sites staff is rife with individuals willing to verify Instagram accounts for prices anywhere from a bottle of wine to 1. 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